Monday, July 22, 2013

All Star Jeff Locke isn't very good

For one thing, he's walking 4.0 batters per 9 innings. 1.55 K/BB rate. The two things he has going for him are his 6.0 H/9 and his 0.5 HR/9, both of which will regress.

 Just for shits and giggles, here's Locke's 2013, followed by All Star Zach Duke's rookie season:

ERA: 2.11, 1.81
WHIP: 1.113, 1.205
IP: 115, 84.2
H/9: 6.0, 8.4
HR/9: 0.5, 0.3
K/9: 6.2, 6.2
BB/9: 4.0, 2.4
K/BB: 1.55, 2.52
BAbip: .226, .302
GB/FB: 1.13, 0.95

I admit to being vocally in favor of Locke making this team and getting innings. I stand by that. I think he's a serviceable 5th starter. But he has been hella lucky thus far, and it's very likely to be regression from this point out.

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