Tuesday, January 31, 2012
Friday, January 27, 2012
Huh?
A person familiar with the talks says baseball players and owners have reached an understanding that ties for division titles will be broken on the field under the new playoff format.
Okay. Weren't ties already broken on the field?
Since 1995, head-to-head record has been used to determine first place if both teams are going to the postseason.
Right. So yes. Ties were already broken on the field, over the course of like 13 divisional head-to-head games.
But with the start of a one-game, winner-take-all wild-card round, both sides agreed the difference between first place and a wild-card berth is too important to decide with a formula and a tiebreaker game would be played.
Summary: some owners said "let's make more money!" and the knucklehead players said "Yes. Also, home field advantage is way too important to not be decided by the impossibly small sample size of one, nine-inning game." We said: "/faceplant."
A little more than two months before opening day, the sides still don’t know whether the expanded playoffs will start this year.
Free Tank Carter has obtained the off season to-do list for MLB. We would put a scanned image of it here, but our fax/scanner is in the shop. Here it is, transcribed:
1. Make a genuine effort to expand and refine instant replay
3. Decide if we should have playoffs this year;
3.a. and if so, what it should look like.
6. See Moneyball, Ides of March before the Oscars.
Two months til opening day. Plenty of time to knock off those last few chores.
Negotiators plan to talk again next week and decide by March 1 whether the 2012 playoffs will have eight or 10 teams.
I've been wanting to write a post about the different sports' postseason formats, and undoubtedly we'll be addressing the subject as baseball tinkers with theirs. Without going too deep into it, I'm going to throw the following thoughts out there:
A good playoff format must strike a balance between offering do-or-die excitement, while also keeping flukey, small-sample-size stuff somewhat in check. Ideally, it's the Caps, Pens, Sabres, Caps, Devils or Caps representing the East in the 2010 finals, not the Flyers/Canadiens. But at the same time, sometimes it's awesome when the Cardinals sneak in on the last day of the season, upset the Phillies and Brewers, and then come back from the brink to beat the Rangers. I'm not saying we, as fans, root for top seeds to meet up, nor do we always root for Cinderella stories. But we know it when a team has sneaked its way into a round it doesn't belong in, and we yawn about it (see: 2006 St. Louis Cardinals). So, my point here is that a good championship system is tricky and doesn't always work.
Baseball's format is the smallest of the big four, pro sports. Originally, the point was to win the most games and ignore the rival league. Then in 1903, Pittsburgh and Boston played each other in a cross-league contest to determine who was the best of the best. This was a best-of-nine World Series, so the head-to-head sample size was somewhat meaty (until it was subsequently reduced to the less meaty, best-of-seven). It wasn't until 1969 that a playoff format was introduced, and this was only four teams total. The league championship series to advance to the World Series was a meager best-of-five. 1994 saw one of the few decent innovations by our friend, Mr. Selig, and that was an expansion to an eight team playoff bracket; the first round being a best-of-five, the pennant round and World Series being best of seven. I think it's safe to say that everyone has pretty much approved of this format.
My only real complaint with it is that it starts too late. I love baseball so much that I have been legally married to it twice now, but even I think the season is too long. I don't like rain/snow mix on opening day and then again in the World Series. I'd like to see either more double headers, or fewer games, so that the World Series can be ending in the second week of October. I'll also add that when two teams are forced to play a one-game tie breaker for the right to be the wildcard seed because they have an identical record, that is tremendously exciting (it happened in the AL Central 2 years in a row, and was great). I don't like small sample sizes determining the fate of the really awesome teams, but I don't mind it occasionally affecting two teams that weren't good enough to win a playoff spot outright.
I keep talking about sample size, like there's a huge difference between a best-of-five and best-of-seven or -nine. Well, in baseball there kind of is. And that's due to the unique nature of the game, where individual players of great impact are off the field more often than they're on it. The pitcher is somewhat similar to the goalie or the quarterback in terms of being isolated from and elevated above the rest of the team; but goalies and QBs aren't played in rotation. A best-of-five series really only requires a team have two, stud pitchers, and maybe six to eight good innings from the bullpen. A best-of-seven series requires that a team not only have an ace or two, but also depth behind them. A best-of-nine series requires not only front line quality and depth, but also endurance (imagine how awesome it would be to see Verlander used in four or five games in different capacities, different situations, etc. (in the case of Verlander, specifically, he would actually be kept out of the game in four or five different capacities or situations, etc. JimLeyland etc.).
Okay, so that brings us up to now.
What the gents in the league office are considering, is taking my two complaints (long season, don't want too much small sample size) and making them worse. Instead of consolidating the season, they've decided that the best way to generate excitement for September games is to add an additional round of the playoffs. Potentially a best-of-one round for teams that are almost good enough to be the wild card seed.
Here's the thing though... it's not even middle of the road teams getting an extra chance to crash the big boy party. It's just another spin of the craps wheel for teams that were already good and already had a chance to decide their own destiny but came up short.
For example, if this system was in place last year, that SUPERB ending, where Tampa Bay defied all odds to steal Boston's playoff spot would have been irrelevant, because the 91-71 Rays still would have had to play the 90-72 Red Sox in a game where anything could have happened. All that improbable magic on one night would have been noise, because regardless of Longoria's heroics and Papelbon's meltdown, they'd be meeting up the following night on even ground as if they finished with the same record. (Devil's advocate: the less exciting, though equally important night in which the Cardinals stole the Braves' wildcard seed would have been replaced by a head-to-head matchup that would have had more fanfare than an Atlanta loss to the Phillies. Just saying.)
So that's what it is, or what it could be. From the people who brought you "and the home field advantage shall be decided by the league that wins the All Star game!" we have "oh, we can definitely do worse than the shootout. Give us a few months to reflect. It'll come."
Glad you're back, Bud.
(Twenty two days until pitchers & catchers.)
Thursday, January 26, 2012
The Post-Gazette is showing its age
Two Arians columns, two self-deprecating revelations that the Steelers haven't talked to Newspaper Columnist X about who they should hire as their new offensive coordinator. There are two problems with this alone. First, while the self-deprecation might be real, it is insincere. Both Ron Cook and Gene Collier think, either consciously or subconsciously, that their opinions should carry weight on this matter because they're columnists for a newspaper. They might be joking about the Steelers not asking for their opinion, but the only catch is that they're not at all joking. Second, the "nobody asked for my opinion but I'm going to give it anyway" is as weak a literary device as the one-sentence paragraphs both Collier and Cook are so fond of.
I knew there would be at least one strong candidate at the Camp Horne Road store, because that's where I saw the guy with the leather-sleeved 5 TIME SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS jacket that time, but this was after Super Bowl XLIII, so he had ripped off a three-inch square of duct tape, covered the big '5' on the back with it, and wrote '6' right on the duct tape.
The sentiment here is totally dead-on. When some guy you meet while walking your dog, some guy you stop to talk to at the grocery store and the lady selling lottery tickets at the gas station all think that your play-calling is predictable, YOUR PLAYCALLING IS PREDICTABLE. But please, Gene Collier, continue to mock these people in the name of telling me why the Steelers should not have fired Uncle Genius Bruce Arians.
Progressions tended to break down for Arians, according to my candidates, specifically in the red zone.
When did these people you approached ever start pontificating about how they could do better than Arians? Since when is expressing a criticism of a football team the same thing as an assurance the critic could do just as well? This guy didn't call you and say "Man, listen to what I would do because I'm so much smarter than him." You called this guy and you asked him what he would do. You did that with all these people, only to flip it around and write it so that it looks like Steelers fans are claiming they're all way better options than Bruce Arians. Not only is that unfair, it's lazy and mean-spirited.
These folks who were just going about their business when you ambushed them -- none of them said outright that they were right for the job. The gist of their criticism was that they didn't think it was being done well, and that it could be done better.
Wednesday, January 25, 2012
Rejoice, for the offensive coordinator is dead
Seems like everyone is saying the Steelers need to spend more time and money on constructing a better offensive line. The team has invested $102 million in quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. Doesn't it need to do a better job keeping him healthy?
That's you're so in the tank for this guy is really sad, Ron. It's sad, and it's infuriating to what Norman Mailer so arrogantly termed "my sense of intellectual pollution."
Dan: You'd think that's the case, right?
Dan: Unless what?
Matt: You're probably right. But wouldn't that be tragic in a sense? They'd have to keep him.
It's nice to think Rooney will realize he's making a mistake and change his mind before the official Arians retirement announcement is made.
There's no doubt Roethlisberger will fight for Arians again, if he hasn't done so already. Last year, he said of Arians: "He gets way, way too much blame and criticism. It's kind of unfortunate because he's so good. If you ask the players, we know." Only days before a playoff loss Jan. 8 in Denver, he said of Arians and the offense: "We've got something special here. We've got a lot of great young players. As long as they don't get crazy and change the offense -- that can really set you back -- the sky is the limit for this team."
That last part is actually correct -- this team has unbelievable talent. Imagine what it would look like if it was disciplined enough to do things like run timing patterns or learn more than two running plays. What if these guys, instead of playing backyard football, were run with the professionalism and complexity of a professional football organization? This team could be amazing. This team could blow Green Bay out of the fucking water. But that hasn't happened because practice is too much work, and it's not a part of the Arians offense. Of course the players love him -- he doesn't make them actually do anything. How's that worked style worked out for the similarly dumb Wade Phillips in his head coaching stints? Hint: terribly.
"If I tell him I hate a play, he won't call it," Roethlisberger said. "He doesn't have an ego that way. He doesn't ever say, 'We're going to do it my way.' It's the same way with the receivers...he has enough faith in his players to do that. He's a players' guy."
"He brings consistency," Batch said. "You don't want to change that right now when Ben is actually entering into the prime of his career. I don't see why you would want to change."
Really.
Why would you want to change?
There's a reason we've had a "fire bruce arians" tag in the lexicon for some years now, but just in case you need a quick refreshment:
Sunday, January 22, 2012
Dispelling rumors about the death of Joe Paterno
- The Penn State University Board of Trustees did not kill Joe Paterno.
- The Penn State University Board of Trustees did not give Joe Paterno lung cancer.
- Joe Paterno died of a medical condition, lung cancer, that was not at all related to football or his firing.
- Joe Paterno did not die of a broken heart.
- Joe Paterno did not die because he was no longer coaching football.
- The Penn State University Board of Trustees did not kill Joe Paterno. This bears repeating.
- At the time of his death, Joe Paterno was undergoing treatment for said ailment that also was not related to football or his firing.
- Joe Paterno's medical condition and treatment for said condition would have led to his death, regardless of his standing with the university or its football program.
- Had he not been fired by Penn State a few months ago, Joe Paterno would not have coached next season. He would not have been alive enough to do so.
- Once more: The Penn State University Board of Trustees did not kill Joe Paterno.
Tuesday, January 17, 2012
Thursday, January 12, 2012
Don't stress: The Pens should be fine

The Pens have lost six games in a row and have fallen to 9th place in the Eastern Conference playoff race. Fans and media are wondering if the wheels have fallen off, and some sports show callers are even calling for Dan Bylsma's head. I'm here to tell everyone to take a deep breath. It's a losing streak. They happen. The Capitals lost 8 games in a row last season and still managed to finish 1st in the conference with 107 points. The 2008-2009 edition of the Pens slumped well into February, and that season ended with them hoisting the Cup. Here's why we shouldn't worry just yet:
1) The Pens are still out-shooting their opponents. In fact, the Pens have out-shot their opponents for the last six games, all losses. Goals are determined by two things: how many shots you take, and your shooting percentage. Team shooting percentage is pretty fluky. A team can have a good percentage one year and a bad percentage the next. I suspect it may be due to chance more than anything else. The Pens are still getting a lot of shots on goal, and that's important. Their team shooting percentage is 8.5% for the year. During the streak? An unreasonably low 3.1%. The Pens have run into bad luck and hot goaltending. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 37/38, and Martin Brodeur stopped 41/42. Eventually, the shots will go in.
2) When you account for empty net goals, three of the losses were 1 goal losses. These are close games against good (and hot) teams. The Pens are just losing them. They'll even out in the end.
Things to consider:
1) Injuries. Obviously we miss Sid and Jordan Staal. We really miss Kris Letang. He was playing some great hockey before suffering a concussion. The folks at www.hockey-reference.com can estimate how many points a player contributes to his team in the standings. Letang is 2nd among NHL defensemen in Point Shares per/game, right behind Shea Weber. He's an extremely valuable player.
2) It may be time to split up the Neal-Malkin-Kunitz line. With 2 of our top 3 centers out of action for a while, it might be better to spread out the scoring talent. Teams are sending out their top D pairing and top defensive forwards against the Malkin line. We need the other lines to be more of a threat. Look for Tyler Kennedy to start scoring more goals. I'd like to see him with Malkin and Neal, but I'll leave the lines up to Bylsma.
Bottom line: Things haven't gone well lately, but that's not because the Pens are a bad team. Things will start turning around, and hopefully, the injured guys will be back soon.
Wednesday, January 11, 2012
A few more thoughts on the Broncos game
- The Steelers' offense was erratic all year long. None of the teams they beat up on during the regular season were particularly good, and while the home win over New England was impressive, the Pats' defense was so atrocious that the Steelers should have scored significantly more points than it did. Given how LeBeau's boys showed up that day, the Steelers should have blown out New England.
- The best game all-around game this team played all year came against the Bengals. There were a lot of similarities between Pittsburgh and Cincy this year. Cincy's offensive coordinator, Jay Gruden, did a really great job of crafting game plans that catered to the strengths of his personnel -- power running attack, fast and talented receivers, a competent rookie quarterback, etc. Cincy's offensive line, though, was miles better than Pittsburgh's, and I think if there had been a Jay Gruden running the Steelers' offense -- or really anyone willing to work with the players they have rather than trying to make the players they have fit into a particular type of scheme -- this would have been a much more dangerous team. This all goes back to the severely unhealthy, enabling relationship between Ben Roethlisberger and Bruce Arians, and we've really beaten that topic to death here. To Ron Cook's credit (twice in one week! Ridiculous, no?) he wrote a great piece on this last week before the game.
- Franco posited the following with regard to the Steelers' defensive approach against Denver:
1. Because using safeties closer to the line is more effective against stopping the run, and we were afraid we couldn't stop the run.
2. Because Ryan Mundy is slow and big, and therefore better as a run stopper than as a cover guy. Would Ryan Clark have allowed for more Cover 1? I don't know. Certainly Mundy played a good game with what he was given, and I don't think Clark would have had any more impact plays than Mundy, but there exists the possibility that we would have been looser with the safeties.
- I don't think the Steelers were afraid they couldn't stop the run. The Steelers stacked the box against Denver because Denver's offense is a run-first unit and, until Sunday, couldn't throw to save its life. With the truly great seasons Ike Taylor and William Gay had, I don't blame Dick LeBeau for thinking that those guys could stick with Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker in man coverage all game. Both cornerbacks were great this year. And while the Broncos had won with Tebow, they'd yet to beat anybody with the passing game. So the idea of selling out to stop the run and daring Tebow to beat you with his arm made sense before that game -- especially given how piss poor Tebow looked during most of the season.
- FTC was prominently involved in Maurkice Pouncey's little Twitter blowup after the game. It's curious how big that story has become given that Pouncey didn't actually play in the game. Meanwhile, Ike Taylor, who did play in the game and turned out what's probably one of the worst performances of his career, sat at his locker with his head down and didn't talk to the media afterwords. I don't blame him. In fact, I really feel for the guy. The 2011 season was probably the best or second-best of his career, and that was a horrible way for it to end. This afternoon, he went on TribLive Radio for his weekly scheduled appearance, and talked about it. I don't blame Ike for not talking after the game. In fact, it was probably smart of him not to. He took a few days, decompressed, and today, spoke with great candor, sincerity and eloquence on just how painful the loss was, even saying that it hurt more than last year's Super Bowl loss to Green Bay. Ike's going to be fine. While Maurkice Pouncey was being an asshole to people on Twitter, Ike was stewing in his own failure. This is where I disagree with Ron Cook about the column referenced in the post below. Some of these guys do think of all this as a business-first thing. But Ike's immediate reaction and subsequent comments earlier today only reinforce the idea that he's someone who gives a lot of himself to his work, and that he's genuinely invested, not only professionally, but personally, in how he does. This guy cares.
- The Steelers are, like, $22 million over the cap going into next year, and a lot of guys won't be back. If I had to guess now, I'd say that list includes Chris Kemoeatu, Larry Foote, Bryant McFadden, Will Allen, Daniel Sepulveda, William Gay and Max Starks. James Farrior, Aaron Smith and Hines Ward should retire. I believe Smith will, but if either of the other two decide to play next year, I can't see it being for Pittsburgh. It won't shock me if any of the following guys are also gone next year: Colon, Keisel, Hoke, Hampton, David Johnson. Suisham and Dennis Dixon will definitely not be back.
Credit where it's due
Monday, January 9, 2012
Someone please explain to Maurkice Pouncey how the Internet works
FTC: whoa, what the hell is up with @probowler53 and @mgilbert76shilling for some hack rapper like mere moments after a humiliating loss?
Pouncey: @FreeTankCarter unfollow me then loser!!
FTC: @Probowler53 i'm a huge fan of both you and gilbert and it makes you look like a fucking idiot to call your own fans losers and haters ...
FTC: @Probowler53 just because they don't want to hear about your bullshit rapper buddy after your boys went out and played like total bitches
FTC: @FreeTankCarter I'm done talkin to losers!
@JRitzMoney lmao u have 17 followers u wish u had my life!!
@Rick_D00Va why would I be mad I'm rich play for the steelers and have a awesome life!! Are u mad loser
@steelcitykid18 lol that's haters if u can't see that! I'm cool lose respect for me!!
@stevegiglio I will idiot!! You enjoy your lame life!!
@scottalanlong dude u have 6 followers no one cares what u have to say!! Can u not see that!!
Points to consider
Coming into this game we knew it was going to be uncomfortably close, but we were sure it was impossible Denver could win. Well, we were wrong about that. Tim Tebow made throws that we were sure were impossible for him to make. Tip your cap, don't read too much into it. Their offense had a terrific day.
2. Our ouster was about a week ahead of schedule
We were the shittiest 12-4 team you'll see. Yes, we had a tremendous yard differential, and that combined with the record looked good on paper. But c'mon. If you've been watching all year, we were frustratingly bad.
Week 1: we got the shit kicked out of us by the Ravens.
Week 2: we beat up on a crummy Seahawks team led by Tarvaris Jackson.
Week 3: we almost lost to the worst team in the league, the Colts.
Week 4: we lost to the Texans.
Week 5: we won in convincing fashion against a hobbled Titans team.
Week 6: we almost lost to the Jaguars.
Week 7: we beat the Cardinals.
Week 8: we beat the Pats, hanging on at the end.
Week 9: we tried hanging on against the Ravens and failed.
Week 10: we narrowly beat the Bengals.
Week 11: bye.
Week 12: we very narrowly beat the Chiefs.
Week 13: we kicked the crap out of the Bengals.
Week 14: we very narrowly beat the Browns.
Week 15: we got the crap kicked out of by the 49ers.
Week 16: we kicked the crap out of the Rams.
Week 17: we narrowly beat the Seneca Wallace led Browns.
That's 7 games with playoff teams. We went 3-4 in those games.
That's 9 games with shit teams. We went 9-0 in them, but only won 3 of them comfortably.
So we're looking at 4 losses and 6 ugly wins on the season. Losing ugly to the Broncos isn't an aberration. If anything, it's a fitting way to go. And if it hadn't been the Broncos, it would have been the Pats next week.
3. Our defense got beat, but they aren't what's wrong with us as a team
If you're interested in how specifically we got beat, let me tell you.
We opted to run a lot of plays from a Cover 1 or Cover 0 shell, which only provides the minimum safety protection against the pass. If a wide receiver beats one of our defensive backs, there's nothing to be done about it in Cover 0. We were running this defense for two reasons, near as I can figure:
1. Because using safeties closer to the line is more effective against stopping the run, and we were afraid we couldn't stop the run.
2. Because Ryan Mundy is slow and big, and therefore better as a run stopper than as a cover guy. Would Ryan Clark have allowed for more Cover 1? I don't know. Certainly Mundy played a good game with what he was given, and I don't think Clark would have had any more impact plays than Mundy, but there exists the possibility that we would have been looser with the safeties.
Our defense was atypical for us, in that we didn't play bend-don't-break. We sold out to stop the run by both bringing in the safeties, and by keeping a 3-man line on the field for most of the game. Rarely were we able to get into the exotic blitz packages, and that was because Denver kept us honest with their short yardage game.
Could we use help in the secondary? Yes. The answer has always been yes. We do not have an heir apparent for Troy. This is nothing new. Ike Taylor is quite capable, and William Gay has made serious strides this year. But we weren't as good as our #1 ranking for pass defense indicated; it was simply a result of a weak schedule.
4. Forget about the defense, we need a face-lift on offense
Bruce Arians and Ben Roethlisberger are enabling idiots. Throw in Ron Cook, and you have a circle jerk that can get sacked out of field goal range with the best of 'em.
"He's a first-ballot Hall of Famer in my mind," Arians said of Roethlisberger. "He's won two Super Bowls and been to a third. He's not done with Super Bowls, I believe. Even if he stopped right now, he'd be a first-ballot guy."
That's cute. Let's get cuter.
"Seriously, it means a lot coming from a guy like that," Roethlisberger said. "He's coached some of the best. He coached Peyton Manning. It's awesome to hear even if it is premature."
Arians coached Manning for two seasons (followed that up by coaching the powerhouse Cleveland Browns to some terrible offensive rankings). Manning had a passer rating of 80.6 and the team went 16-16 in the time Arians was there. You might be saying "But Franco, those were just Manning's first two years in the league, and besides team record can't be blamed on the QB coach!" Sure. I'll give you that. But give me this: Bruce Arians' association with Peyton Manning bears the absolute minimum of greatness. His comparison of Ben with first-ballot hall of famers is further proof that the man has no concept of what a high end offensive player should look like.
The man gets no argument here.
Thanks for backing me up, Ron Cook.
Oh, wait. You were referring to something Arians said about Ben being great, weren't you? Never mind.
Ronny boy concludes that Ben is too awesome and loves Arians too much for the Steelers to get a new offensive coordinator. I conclude that BA waxes Ben's ass and doesn't hold him accountable, and Ben's afraid that if we get someone new in there, he'll be asked to do his homework week-in, week-out.
That is precisely what we need.
This isn't the 1970s, where a QB can call his own plays at the line. If you watch the Saints or the Packers play, you will see a new level of offensive mastery that would blow us out of the water. I'm not saying we have to copy their playbooks (in fact, I'd say we shouldn't just copy their playbooks if we don't understand the plays, see: fullhouse backfield, run for no yards play). I'm saying we have to match their level of precision and discipline. Ben chaffed a little under Whisenhunt because he wasn't allowed to throw the ball as much. But that was the thing, when Ben did throw, he was brilliant because it was very well designed. There is nothing designed about this current offense. It's just two idiots who are making it up on the fly. Don't believe me? Here:
"As I get stale as a play-caller, I like to turn it over to No. 7. We have a wager on who gets to the end zone first."
Know who doesn't get stale as a playcaller? A good offensive coordinator!
Here's what I'm specifically calling for:
1. A new offensive coordinator who will hold Ben accountable.
2. An offense that gets its mojo from short timing routes that crisscross over the middle.
3. Screens to the running backs.
4. Designed QB rollouts, where Ben is given permission to jog and slide for yards if his options are all dead (flopping into the fetal position will be missed).
5. Better time management on offense.
6. Better understanding of the spots on the field where sacks aren't an option (i.e. FG range).
7. A running game that finds its mojo on short yardage situations, and doesn't just run on first down.
There's more, but those are good places to start.
Seriously folks, if you're at all interested in the Steelers being a top-shelf competitor, and not just a winning-record, early-exit playoff team, then you should be getting on board with this. Our offense is below average garbage, and as long as it's run by the best friends club, nothing is going to change.
5. Go Steelers!
It was a frustrating year, but still a fun one. I love watching the games with all of you, and I'm counting down until we can do it again next year.
Let's go ice skating!
Saturday, January 7, 2012
Friday, January 6, 2012
Friday with FRANCO: wildcard edition
This is Elvis Dumervil sacking the shit out of Tom Brady.
It is easily my favorite play of the year, because of the rarity of it. Tom Brady isn't supposed to be taken off his feet and drilled into the ground. At least that's been the wisdom for some time now, and it is true: his line is excellent at picking up the pass rush.
So what happened?
Denver sets up with a three down-linemen. Two of them are fatties, and the one off to the right is Elvis Dumervil, this LB/DE hybrid. Dumervil is only 5'11 and all of his weight is in his lower body; he uses his size much the way James Harrison and Dwight Freeney do, taking on the much larger offensive linemen at a low center of gravity where he has the advantage.
In this play, Dumervil is aided by a linebacker and a defensive back.
The guy who starts off at the bottom of the screen is #58 Von Miller. He is a rookie and he is unbelievably good at his job. As a LB in a traditional 4-3 defense, Miller wouldn't be asked to pass rush as much as he does; but Denver's nickel and dime packages look more like a 3-4 attack, and so he gets plenty of opportunities to come out of coverage.
If you notice the guy lined up outside Dumervil, across from the slot receiver, that's Quinton Carter, another rookie. He's in as the dime back on this play, but Denver gives him the blitz call. This is just enough to catch the eye of New England's right tackle, who picks him up leaves Dumervil free.
With both Dumervil and Miller penetrating, New England can only pick up one of them; in this case it's Miller who gets blocked and Dumervil who gets the sack. Combined, these two have a cool 20 sacks on the year, which is 2 more than our tandem of Harrison and Woodley.
I don't know that this particular play is characteristic of Denver's defense, but as I said, they are a 4-3 team that isn't afraid to go to an unbalance 3-man front in their sub packages. The trick to beating that is to keep help in the backfield. We've been using Heath (too much) as a pass blocker lately, and we'll definitely need Redman to get into the act as the sidecar. I have serious doubts about Denver's big men, and if they're going to leave a hole in the line like they do here (note the giant gap between Dumervil and the NT), then I run the draw out of the shotgun.
In all frankness, I think there's cause for some concern. Ben is a big meathead with a gimpy leg. Max Starks is capable as a "push-and-apologize" blocker, but Von Miller requires more of a "good" blocker to really shut him down. Legursky is fine as fake Mike Pouncey, but that's when he's playing next to real Maurkice Pouncey. Real Maurkice Pouncey is effectively dead this Sunday. I don't even know who is on the right side of the line, but I'm rooting for them to put in Hines Ward at RG as the first milestone tribute of 2012.
Look their pass rush can be sweet. Our line and our QB are icky. We're going to have to be smart, which isn't our forte, though it is possible.
What else is going on in Bronco land?
Brian Dawkins and Champ Bailey are both drawing on social security. Ron Paul will put a stop to that.
The running game is anchored by 30 year old Willis McGahee. This happened the last time Willis McGahee played us in the playoffs.
We all know what happened the last time Ryan Clark played in Denver.
Man, head hits and sickle cell disorders are terrible!
There's not too much more to the Broncos. They pass rush very well, and that creates pressure situations which create the potential for turnovers. If we don't take care of the ball we give them a chance to win. If we take care of our business on offense, it's extraordinarily unlikely that Denver's offense can beat us.
My guess is that we'll see a pretty shitty game, with a lot of incompletes. Ben will shake his head in disbelief a lot, Tebow will keep his chin up because he's a moron. That will be your football afternoon.
the Marlins aren't going to be that good anyway

As reported by the folks over at Big League Stew, Mark Buehrle can't bring his pitbull into Miami, because Miami is fucking dumb.
The editorial board of FTC isn't just deeply concerned about Florida sports (all Florida sports), we are also fans of adorable pitbulls in general, and the two adorably fat man-eaters we sometimes dogsit in particular.
This one is dedicated to you, Luke & Rosie. Go sick those redneck lawmakers... with kisses!
Thursday, January 5, 2012
FRANCO did a blue collar photoshop job

Right?
Doesn't get much more blue collar than Greg Warren.

Alright, so I didn't do the cleanest photoshop job, pasting Troy's image into this frame. But being blue collar isn't about being clean.
Being blue collar is about working near minimum wages in total obscurity, like Troy and Sean Casey do.
Here's to them -- the saltiest of the Earthiest!
Wednesday, January 4, 2012
The Washington Post fantasizes about the Washington Post having sex with the Washington Post
And because the newspaper business is thriving and the Post has money to burn, instead of having the geniuses who wrote the list write their explanations of the list, they've brought on a third person, in this case, self-proclaimed Pittsburgh native and FTC-proclaimed turncoat Maura Judkis to interview them about why Pittsburgh is It and Portland is Not It. Is there a greater declaration of self-importance than having one of your writers interview two of your other writers for a story to appear in your own publication?
This year’s List has spoken, and writers Dan Zak and Monica Hesse have laid their anointed hands upon my hometown for 2012. Pittsburgh, Pa., is cool now. Sorry, Portland hipsters!





