Okay, since we're doing this...
Ed Bouchette said the Rooneys are just trying to scare Ben, and that they're entertaining offers more than shopping. So we're really asking what the odds are that Oakland or Seattle or someone knocks the Steelers back with an offer they can't refuse. So we're really asking how much you trust Al Davis to do something weird.
Put in those terms, there is no way to look at this other than as a situation where no one has any idea what is going to happen. Al Davis could easily offer 17 first-round picks in last year's draft, Zach Miller, and a horse for Rapelisberger. Or he could offer his entire team except for Darius Heyward-Bey and JaMarcus Russell for the privilege of never having to talk to Ben. Who knows?
Bold Prediction: Roethlisberger to the Rams for Bradford, straight up.
I mean, Franco's right; could really anything surprise from here on out? And the Steelers are said to be super high on Bradford.
Okay, I have been encouraged by Matt to actually post what I think will happen, and not just pick something that hasn't been claimed already.
I think the plurality of liklihood (say, 30%) is still that nothing happens, but I also think the Steelers brass are smart enough to know there's a possibility of a lockout, and to know that the rebuilding might be a smart idea anyway. They are said to consider Bradford a "sure thing," so I think it's very, very possible that he gets deal in some complex deal for Bradford (10%), some juiced up deal to Cleveland (10%), some darkhorse nut franchise like JAX or OAK (25%), or some straighforward move to an out-of-division team (25%).
Again, like Franco said, who knows?